Saturday, February 27, 2021

US GDP estimates proceed to ratchet larger

Financial institution of America boosts forecasts

Bank of America boosts forecasts

Robust Q1 knowledge and impending stimulus is pushing a persuasive case for larger development.

Economists at Financial institution of America now see 2020 GDP development at 6.5% this 12 months in comparison with 6.0% a 12 months in the past and 5.0% in 2022 in comparison with 4.5% beforehand.

The Fed’s Kaplan additionally simply hit the wires saying dangers are to the upside for his 5% 2021 GDP forecast.

The primary quarter was speculated to be the stumble due to an increase in covid instances but it surely’s not enjoying out that manner and we now hove Goldman at 6%, MS at 7.5% and JPM at 5% for q/q annualized development.

The Fed’s composite forecast is 4.2% for this 12 months and the consensus is 4.9%. Given the transfer from BofA, anticipate extra to observe.

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