Friday, February 26, 2021

How A lot Larger Can GBP/USD Go?


  • GBP Breaking Out to Recent Highs
  • How A lot Larger Can GBPUSD Go?
  • Broader Markets in Focus, Watch GBPJPY for Month-Finish

GBP Breaking Out to Recent Highs

The Pound has gone from energy to energy, with GBP/USD breaking out to contemporary highs above 1.4000. In every week that had been comparatively gentle on the newsflow entrance from the UK perspective, the transfer has actually been a continuation of the present narrative with a profitable vaccine program offering a tailwind for the forex because the reopening of the financial system nears. Financial knowledge has been barely extra geared to the constructive facet, notably with sentiment knowledge after PMIs shocked on the draw back. On the flip facet, laborious knowledge within the type of retail gross sales stay weak, nevertheless, with the main target extra on the reopening of the UK financial system, the view that pent up demand will take fold as soon as lockdown ends has seen merchants shrug off delicate retail gross sales knowledge.

How A lot Larger Can GBPUSD Go?

With the Pound buying and selling on the highest degree since April 2018, the query being requested is how a lot additional has GBP acquired to go. On the technical entrance, there isn’t a major quantity of notable topside ranges till the April 2018 highs at 1.4334 and 1.4374. Nevertheless, with GBP/USD buying and selling at overbought ranges on the RSI, there’s a danger of short-term pullbacks. Alongside this, seasonality additionally doesn’t favour the short-term outlook for the forex. On the draw back, help sits at 1.3850 with the 20DMA under at 1.3780. Waiting for subsequent week, there’s little in the way in which for home knowledge and as such, the ebb and stream of the broader danger atmosphere shall be intently watched for GBP. Elsewhere, subsequent week additionally brings month-end into focus, the place GBP/JPY is often the outperformer (click on right here for knowledge).

GBP/USD Chart: 10yr Seasonality

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: How Much Higher Can GBP/USD Go?

GBPUSD Chart: Weekly Time Body

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: How Much Higher Can GBP/USD Go?

Supply: Refinitiv

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Change in Longs Shorts OI
Day by day -1% 16% 10%
Weekly -5% 12% 6%

The Must Know Information on Buying and selling the Pound (GBP)

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